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Larne vs Cliftonville Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Inver Park, Larne
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Lusty M.
38' Event
Lusty M.
46'
Sub
Quinn B. In: Wightman A.
Out: Quinn B.

AI Match Summary

Larne in this NIFL Premiership matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Larne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Larne
15%
Draws
24%
Cliftonville
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Larne lately — more wins on the board than Cliftonville.
  • Larne are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Larne Clean Sheet 16%
Cliftonville Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Cliftonville
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 15
Draws 5 1
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.58 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Cliftonville
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Cliftonville
2:0
Dec 30, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Cliftonville
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Larne
0:2
Aug 19, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Larne
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Larne Compare

Top Goalscorer Lusty M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cliftonville Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 48 / 100
Cliftonville 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Cliftonville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larne has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Larne's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Cliftonville has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS Cliftonville
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
Page 1 of 7

Cliftonville

(Away)
26 Sept
Limavady
1 : 0
Cliftonville
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
05 Sept
Cliftonville
3 : 1
Portadown
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 9 7 1 1 19:8 22
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Crusaders 9 5 0 4 15:14 15
5 Glentoran 9 4 1 4 13:10 13
6 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
7 Cliftonville 9 4 0 5 12:11 12
8 Carrick Rangers 9 3 1 5 11:15 10
9 Ballymena 8 2 3 3 12:11 9
10 Limavady 8 3 0 5 7:11 9
11 Bangor FC 9 1 2 6 8:19 5
12 Portadown 9 0 1 8 5:19 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)