Sport Picks

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Larne vs Connahs Q.

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Gibson M.

AI Match Summary

Larne in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Larne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Larne
15%
Draws
34%
Connahs Q.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Larne lately — more wins on the board than Connahs Q..
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Larne taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Larne Clean Sheet 13%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Connahs Q.
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.6 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Larne vs Connahs Q.
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Larne Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Connahs Q. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 39 / 100
Connahs Q. 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Connahs Q.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larne has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Larne scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Connahs Q. conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS Connahs Q.
1 Goals Scored 2.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
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Connahs Q.

(Away)
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1
Haverfordwest
31 Aug
Flint Town
1 : 2
Connahs Q.
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