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Larne vs East Belfast

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2004/2005 Inver Park, Larne
Larne Logo

Larne

3 - 0
FT
East Belfast Logo

East Belfast

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Larne in this Irish Cup 2004/2005 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Larne
15%
Draws
0%
East Belfast
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Larne have won more games recently than East Belfast.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Larne taking it.
  • Larne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Larne, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Larne Clean Sheet 20%
East Belfast Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne East Belfast
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 19 8
Draws 5 0
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.65 1.91
Goals Conceded 1 2.68
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2005 Irish Cup
Larne vs East Belfast
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 85 / 100
East Belfast 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne East Belfast

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: East Belfast conceded in 86% of 22 recent games.

Larne has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

East Belfast lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Larne scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS East Belfast
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 8
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
Page 1 of 7

East Belfast

(Away)
26 Jun
East Belfast
1 : 8
Glentoran
04 Jul
East Belfast
0 : 1
Glentoran
28 Jun
Crusaders
9 : 0
East Belfast
09 Jul
East Belfast
0 : 2
Glentoran
22 Jul
East Belfast
0 : 3
Glentoran
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Omagh Town 0
Crusaders 1
Carrick Rangers 1
Coleraine 5
Glentoran 6
Lisburn Rangers 0
Linfield 3
Limavady 2
Institute 3
Ballymoney 0
Ballyclare 2
Ards 3
Glenavon 0
Portadown 2
Bangor FC 1
Newry City 5
Ballymena 1
Coagh Utd 0
Kilmore Rec 1
Ballynure Old Boys 0
Lisburn Distillery 4
Ballinamallard 1
Tobermore 0
Harland & Wolff 2
Loughgall 5
Donegal 1
Cliftonville 2
Banbridge 3
Armagh 1
Dungannon 2
Larne 3
East Belfast 0
1/8-finals
Crusaders 0
Coleraine 1
Glentoran 4
Linfield 1
Institute 1
Ards 2
Portadown 2
Bangor FC 1
Ballymena 4
Kilmore Rec 1
Lisburn Distillery 2
Harland & Wolff 3
Loughgall 2
Banbridge 0
Dungannon 1
Larne 2
Quarter-finals
Coleraine 1
Glentoran 2
Ards 0
Portadown 1
Ballymena 4
Harland & Wolff 0
Loughgall 1
Larne 4
Semi-finals
Glentoran 0
Portadown 1
Ballymena 0
Larne 1
Final
Portadown 5
Larne 1