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Larne vs Glentoran Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Inver Park, Larne
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Kane M.
33'
Stewart J.
41'
Douglas J.

AI Match Summary

Larne in this NIFL Premiership matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Larne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Larne
15%
Draws
34%
Glentoran
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Larne have won more games recently than Glentoran.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Larne taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Larne Clean Sheet 20%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Glentoran
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 19 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Glentoran
2:1
Apr 17, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Larne
0:0
Mar 6, 2026 Irish Cup
Glentoran vs Larne
1:2
Feb 10, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Glentoran
2:2
Jan 13, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Larne
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Larne Compare

Top Goalscorer Graham S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lusty M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Glentoran Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 36 / 100
Glentoran 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Glentoran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Larne stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Larne's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Glentoran's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS Glentoran
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
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Glentoran

(Away)
03 Oct
Glentoran
2 : 0
Dungannon
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
12 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 1
Bangor FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 9 7 1 1 19:8 22
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Glentoran 10 5 1 4 15:10 16
5 Crusaders 10 5 0 5 15:18 15
6 Carrick Rangers 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
7 Dungannon 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Ballymena 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
9 Cliftonville 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
10 Limavady 9 3 0 6 8:14 9
11 Bangor FC 9 1 2 6 8:19 5
12 Portadown 10 1 1 8 8:20 4
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)