Sport Picks
Larne vs Knockbreda
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup 2023/2024 Inver Park, Larne 
Match Events
15'
15'
Glynn M.
20'
20'
Cosgrove T.
23'
23'
Paul I.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 9-1, with Larne advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Knockbreda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Larne come out ahead of Knockbreda on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Larne's way, sitting at 90%.
- Larne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Larne, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Larne Clean Sheet 20%
Knockbreda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Larne | Knockbreda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 18 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.84 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.44 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2023 Irish League Cup
Larne vs Knockbreda
9:1
Sep 26, 2020 Club Friendly
Knockbreda vs Larne
0:3
Nov 3, 2018 NIFL Championship
Larne vs Knockbreda
2:0
Aug 11, 2018 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Larne
1:1
Mar 17, 2018 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Larne
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Larne Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomson J.
3 Goals Assists Leader Glynn M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.65
Avg xA / game 1.72
Knockbreda Compare
Top Goalscorer Keke G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Larne 85 / 100
Knockbreda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Larne Knockbreda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Larne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Larne found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Knockbreda has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.
H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.
Knockbreda's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Larne VS Knockbreda
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Larne
(Home) 15 Aug
Coleraine
0 : 0 Larne
11 Aug
Iberia 1999
2 : 1 Larne
04 Aug
Larne
0 : 0 Iberia 1999
29 Jul
Crvena zvezda
5 : 0 Larne
21 Jul
Larne
0 : 4 Crvena zvezda
Page 1 of 7
04 Aug
Larne
0 : 0 Iberia 1999
21 Jul
Larne
0 : 4 Crvena zvezda
14 Jul
Larne
2 : 1 Tre Fiori
03 Jul
Larne
1 : 0 Coleraine
23 Jun
Larne
1 : 0 Connahs Q.
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Knockbreda
(Away) 27 Jun
Knockbreda
0 : 5 Bangor FC
03 Feb
Loughgall
2 : 0 Knockbreda
22 Nov
Wakehurst
2 : 4 Knockbreda
12 Aug
Newry City
3 : 0 Knockbreda
19 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 5 Ards
Page 1 of 7
03 Feb
Loughgall
2 : 0 Knockbreda
22 Nov
Wakehurst
2 : 4 Knockbreda
12 Aug
Newry City
3 : 0 Knockbreda
08 Jul
Bangor FC
5 : 3 Knockbreda
13 Aug
Dergview
2 : 1 Knockbreda
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Lisburn Distillery 4
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Limavady 6
Tobermore 1
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Portadown -
TBD -
Banbridge 0
Coagh Utd 1
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Annagh -
TBD -
Portstewart 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Moyola 1
PSNI 0
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Dollingstown 2
Armagh 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
1/16-finals
Ballymena 4
Lisburn Distillery 0
Coleraine 2
Bangor FC 1
Limavady 2
Dundela 0
Glenavon 2
Dergview 1
Portadown 4
Coagh Utd 1
Warrenpoint 0
Crusaders 5
Annagh 4
Portstewart 1
Loughgall 3
Ballyclare 2
Dungannon 3
Newington FC 1
Cliftonville 3
Institute 0
Carrick Rangers 4
Moyola 1
Harland & Wolff 1
Newry City 2
Ballinamallard 1
Ards 5
Larne 9
Knockbreda 1
Dollingstown 0
Glentoran 2
Linfield 3
Queens University 1
1/8-finals
Ballymena 1
Coleraine 2
Limavady 0
Glenavon 1
Portadown 2
Crusaders 1
Annagh 0
Loughgall 1
Dungannon 1
Cliftonville 0
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 3
Ards 3
Larne 5
Glentoran 1
Linfield 2
Quarter-finals
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 3
Portadown 2
Loughgall 0
Dungannon 4
Newry City 2
Larne 2
Linfield 3
Semi-finals
Glenavon 0
Portadown 1
Dungannon 1
Linfield 2
Final
Portadown 1
Linfield 3
