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Larne vs Limavady - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Inver Park, Larne
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Sub
Gaston A. In: Lowry S.
Out: Gaston A.
63'
Sub
McEneff J. In: McKendry C.
Out: McEneff J.
69'
Sub
McGonigle J. In: Duffy O.
Out: McGonigle J.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership game between Larne and Limavady finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Larne
30%
Draws
37%
Limavady
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Limavady

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Larne carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Larne a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Larne Clean Sheet 16%
Limavady Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Limavady
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Limavady
1:1
Jan 4, 2025 Irish Cup
Limavady vs Larne
1:0
Sep 14, 2021 Irish League Cup
Larne vs Limavady
4:0
Nov 17, 2018 NIFL Championship
Larne vs Limavady
6:0
Oct 6, 2018 NIFL Championship
Limavady vs Larne
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Larne Compare

Top Goalscorer Donnelly A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Limavady Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 41 / 100
Limavady 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Limavady

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Larne scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Limavady let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Larne stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS Limavady
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
30 Oct
Larne
1 : 0
Portadown
27 Oct
Larne
1 : 1
Limavady
24 Oct
Bangor FC
1 : 2
Larne
20 Oct
Larne
1 : 2
Linfield
16 Oct
Larne
2 : 3
Coleraine
Page 1 of 6

Limavady

(Away)
27 Oct
Larne
1 : 1
Limavady
24 Oct
Carrick Rangers
1 : 1
Limavady
20 Oct
Annagh
3 : 4
Limavady
17 Oct
Glentoran
1 : 0
Limavady
10 Oct
Limavady
3 : 2
Ballymena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 14 11 2 1 32:13 35
2 Linfield 14 10 3 1 21:11 33
3 Larne 12 8 2 2 22:10 26
4 Glentoran 13 6 3 4 17:11 21
5 Cliftonville 14 6 0 8 23:17 18
6 Carrick Rangers 14 5 3 6 23:27 18
7 Crusaders 14 6 0 8 20:29 18
8 Ballymena 12 4 3 5 17:16 15
9 Dungannon 13 4 3 6 13:18 15
10 Limavady 14 4 2 8 14:23 14
11 Bangor FC 14 2 3 9 12:26 9
12 Portadown 14 2 2 10 11:24 8
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)