Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Larne vs Limavady

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Inver Park, Larne
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Larne host Limavady in the NIFL Premiership. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Larne have averaged 1.88 scored and 0.25 conceded recently, against Limavady's 1.63 scored and 0.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Larne slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 4, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.31 - 0.94) back Larne to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Larne
39%
Draws
31%
Limavady
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Larne carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Larne Clean Sheet 20%
Limavady Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Limavady
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 20 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2025 Irish Cup
Limavady vs Larne
1:0
Sep 14, 2021 Irish League Cup
Larne vs Limavady
4:0
Nov 17, 2018 NIFL Championship
Larne vs Limavady
6:0
Oct 6, 2018 NIFL Championship
Limavady vs Larne
1:3
Mar 23, 2018 NIFL Championship
Limavady vs Larne
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 31 / 100
Limavady 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Limavady

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larne found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Limavady let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Larne stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS Limavady
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
21 Jul
Larne
0 : 4
Crvena zvezda
14 Jul
Larne
2 : 1
Tre Fiori
07 Jul
Tre Fiori
0 : 1
Larne
03 Jul
Larne
1 : 0
Coleraine
29 Jun
Harland & Wolff
1 : 2
Larne
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Limavady

(Away)
24 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1
Linfield
18 Jul
Limavady
2 : 1
Institute
11 Jul
Limavady
0 : 0
Ballinamallard
07 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1
Coleraine
04 Jul
Limavady
4 : 1
Warrenpoint
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Glentoran00000:00
2Cliftonville00000:00
3Ballymena00000:00
4Bangor FC00000:00
5Coleraine00000:00
6Crusaders00000:00
7Dungannon00000:00
8Linfield00000:00
9Larne00000:00
10Limavady00000:00
11Portadown00000:00
12Carrick Rangers00000:00
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)