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Larne vs Lurgan Celtic Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Donnelly M.
62' Event
Donnelly M.
81'
Gibson J.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship 2017/2018 game between Larne and Lurgan Celtic finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Larne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Larne
15%
Draws
14%
Lurgan Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Lurgan Celtic haven't matched Larne's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Larne's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2017/2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Larne have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Larne Clean Sheet 20%
Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Lurgan Celtic
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 23 3
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 23
Goals Scored 1.89 0.84
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2018 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Larne
0:5
Mar 10, 2018 NIFL Championship
Larne vs Lurgan Celtic
2:0
Dec 23, 2017 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Larne
1:3
Oct 21, 2017 NIFL Championship
Larne vs Lurgan Celtic
2:2
Apr 1, 2017 NIFL Championship
Larne vs Lurgan Celtic
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Larne Compare

Top Goalscorer Donnelly M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Lurgan Celtic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 85 / 100
Lurgan Celtic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Lurgan Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larne scored in 81% of their last 36 games.

Lurgan Celtic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Larne remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
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Lurgan Celtic

(Away)
27 Aug
Crusaders
:
Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
:
Lurgan Celtic
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3
Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
:
St. Patricks Young
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1
Lurgan Celtic
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Larne 32 12 11 9 59:47 47
8 PSNI 32 11 8 13 55:50 41
9 Limavady 32 10 7 15 52:58 37
10 Knockbreda 32 9 9 14 50:54 36
11 Dergview 32 9 9 14 49:59 36
12 Lurgan Celtic 32 3 7 22 32:102 16
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2017/2018 (Relegation)