Sport Picks

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Larne W vs Crusaders W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women Inver Park, Larne
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Reid E.
42' Event
Reid E.
72' Event
Tully C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiership Women matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Larne W
15%
Draws
85%
Crusaders W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Larne W haven't matched Crusaders W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Crusaders W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • History favors Crusaders W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Larne W Clean Sheet 10%
Crusaders W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne W Crusaders W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 1 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 25 15
Goals Scored 0.66 1.66
Goals Conceded 4.24 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Larne W
3:0
May 1, 2026 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Crusaders W
2:2
Sep 26, 2025 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Larne W
3:2
Sep 1, 2025 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Crusaders W
2:4
Jun 6, 2025 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Larne W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Larne W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tully C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dunne S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Crusaders W Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.9
Avg xA / game 1.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne W 18 / 100
Crusaders W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne W Crusaders W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crusaders W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crusaders W let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Crusaders W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Larne W scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Larne W VS Crusaders W
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
4.75 Goals Conceded 4.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne W

(Home)
04 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 0
Larne W
28 Aug
Lisburn Rangers W
5 : 1
Larne W
14 Aug
Larne W
1 : 7
Glentoran W
07 Aug
Larne W
0 : 8
Cliftonville W
31 Jul
Linfield W
2 : 0
Larne W
Page 1 of 6

Crusaders W

(Away)
04 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 0
Larne W
28 Aug
Linfield W
7 : 1
Crusaders W
14 Aug
Crusaders W
1 : 1
Lisburn Ladies W
07 Aug
Glentoran W
5 : 1
Crusaders W
31 Jul
Cliftonville W
9 : 0
Crusaders W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cliftonville W 14 13 0 1 65:10 39
2 Glentoran W 14 11 1 2 55:14 34
3 Linfield W 14 9 1 4 60:22 28
4 Lisburn Rangers W 14 8 1 5 35:30 25
5 Crusaders W 14 4 4 6 25:51 16
6 Derry City W 14 4 1 9 24:33 13
7 Lisburn Ladies W 14 1 2 11 6:54 5
8 Larne W 14 0 2 12 7:63 2
Promotion - Premiership Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership Women (Relegation Group)