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Larne W vs Lisburn Rangers W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women Inver Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Larne W play Lisburn Rangers W in the Premiership Women. Lisburn Rangers W are favorites here. Recently, Larne W averaged 0.73 goals scored and 4.07 conceded. Lisburn Rangers W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Larne W won 0, Lisburn Rangers W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 19, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Larne W and 2.81 for Lisburn Rangers W. This points to a Lisburn Rangers W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Larne W
15%
Draws
71%
Lisburn Rangers W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lisburn Rangers W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Larne W picked up more points recently compared to Lisburn Rangers W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 2.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Larne W Clean Sheet 10%
Lisburn Rangers W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne W Lisburn Rangers W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 13
Draws 4 1
Losses 24 16
Goals Scored 0.73 1.63
Goals Conceded 4.07 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.88 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Lisburn Rangers W
0:3
Aug 1, 2025 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Lisburn Rangers W
1:3
May 9, 2025 Premiership Women
Lisburn Rangers W vs Larne W
5:0
Aug 16, 2024 Premiership Women
Lisburn Rangers W vs Larne W
6:1
May 10, 2024 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Lisburn Rangers W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Larne W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Lisburn Rangers W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dickson E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Parker H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne W 15 / 100
Lisburn Rangers W 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne W Lisburn Rangers W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lisburn Rangers W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Lisburn Rangers W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Larne W attacking → ← attacking Lisburn Rangers W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larne W scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Lisburn Rangers W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Larne W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Lisburn Rangers W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 40
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
3.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Linfield W650136:515
2Glentoran W550024:315
3Cliftonville W550023:315
4Crusaders W832317:2711
5Lisburn Rangers W630310:139
6Derry City W821515:237
7Lisburn Ladies W81164:294
8Larne W80265:312