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Larvik Turn vs Birkebeineren

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2015 game between Larvik Turn and Birkebeineren finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Larvik Turn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Larvik Turn
15%
Draws
0%
Birkebeineren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larvik Turn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Larvik Turn come out ahead of Birkebeineren on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Larvik Turn's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Larvik Turn Clean Sheet 10%
Birkebeineren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larvik Turn Birkebeineren
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 26
Goals Scored 2.07 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.77 4.77
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Birkebeineren vs Larvik Turn
1:5
Jun 20, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Larvik Turn vs Birkebeineren
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larvik Turn 83 / 100
Birkebeineren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larvik Turn Birkebeineren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larvik Turn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larvik Turn's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Birkebeineren has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Birkebeineren has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Larvik Turn VS Birkebeineren
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
3.63 Goals Conceded 4.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Larvik Turn

(Home)
24 Oct
Vestfossen
5 : 1
Larvik Turn
17 Oct
Larvik Turn
2 : 1
Fagerborg
10 Oct
Birkebeineren
1 : 5
Larvik Turn
03 Oct
Larvik Turn
0 : 7
Lommedalen
28 Sept
Mjondalen 2
1 : 0
Larvik Turn
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Birkebeineren

(Away)
24 Oct
Birkebeineren
1 : 4
Eik-Tonsberg
17 Oct
Stromsgodset 3
7 : 0
Birkebeineren
10 Oct
Birkebeineren
1 : 5
Larvik Turn
05 Oct
Fagerborg
6 : 1
Birkebeineren
25 Sept
Birkebeineren
1 : 4
Vestfossen
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