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Larvik Turn vs Fagerborg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Larvik Turn in this Division 3 - Group 4 2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Larvik Turn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Larvik Turn
20%
Draws
36%
Fagerborg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Larvik Turn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Larvik Turn lately — more wins on the board than Fagerborg.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Larvik Turn Clean Sheet 10%
Fagerborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larvik Turn Fagerborg
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 2.07 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.77 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Larvik Turn vs Fagerborg
2:1
Jun 29, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Fagerborg vs Larvik Turn
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larvik Turn 30 / 100
Fagerborg 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larvik Turn Fagerborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fagerborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Larvik Turn scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Fagerborg conceded in 100% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Larvik Turn remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Larvik Turn VS Fagerborg
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
3.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Larvik Turn

(Home)
24 Oct
Vestfossen
5 : 1
Larvik Turn
17 Oct
Larvik Turn
2 : 1
Fagerborg
10 Oct
Birkebeineren
1 : 5
Larvik Turn
03 Oct
Larvik Turn
0 : 7
Lommedalen
28 Sept
Mjondalen 2
1 : 0
Larvik Turn
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Fagerborg

(Away)
24 Oct
Fagerborg
1 : 1
Stromsgodset 3
17 Oct
Larvik Turn
2 : 1
Fagerborg
12 Oct
Fagerborg
1 : 1
Vestfossen
05 Oct
Fagerborg
6 : 1
Birkebeineren
28 Sept
Lommedalen
4 : 1
Fagerborg
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