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Las Palmas B vs CD Santa Ursula Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
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Match Events

8' Event
Villar A.
42' Event
Martin D.

AI Match Summary

Las Palmas B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Las Palmas B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Las Palmas B
30%
Draws
41%
CD Santa Ursula
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Santa Ursula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Las Palmas B have won more games recently than CD Santa Ursula.
  • Model gives CD Santa Ursula a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Las Palmas B here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Las Palmas B Clean Sheet 18%
CD Santa Ursula Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Palmas B CD Santa Ursula
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.23 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas B vs CD Santa Ursula
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Las Palmas B
1:3
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Las Palmas B
0:0
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas B vs CD Santa Ursula
2:0
Apr 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Las Palmas B
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Las Palmas B Compare

Top Goalscorer Villar A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

CD Santa Ursula Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Palmas B 28 / 100
CD Santa Ursula 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Palmas B CD Santa Ursula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Santa Ursula Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Palmas B scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

CD Santa Ursula's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Las Palmas B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Las Palmas B VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Palmas B

(Home)
27 Sept
Las Palmas B
0 : 0
CD Badajoz
20 Sept
Linares
0 : 1
Las Palmas B
13 Sept
Don Benito
3 : 0
Las Palmas B
06 Sept
Las Palmas B
0 : 1
Betis B
03 May
Socuellamos
1 : 1
Las Palmas B
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CD Santa Ursula

(Away)
11 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0
Union Viera
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1
CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 1
San Miguel
11 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)