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Las Palmas B vs Ibarra

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sanchez O. F.
90' Event
Perez J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 game between Las Palmas B and Ibarra finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Las Palmas B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Las Palmas B
15%
Draws
59%
Ibarra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ibarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ibarra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Las Palmas B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Las Palmas B Clean Sheet 18%
Ibarra Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Palmas B Ibarra
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 16 17
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas B vs Ibarra
2:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Las Palmas B
1:1
Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Las Palmas B
1:2
Oct 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas B vs Ibarra
3:0
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas B vs Ibarra
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Las Palmas B Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez O. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Ibarra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Palmas B 32 / 100
Ibarra 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Palmas B Ibarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Palmas B scored in 76% of their last 38 games.

Defensive concern: Ibarra conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Las Palmas B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Las Palmas B VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Palmas B

(Home)
13 Sept
Don Benito
3 : 0
Las Palmas B
06 Sept
Las Palmas B
0 : 1
Betis B
03 May
Socuellamos
1 : 1
Las Palmas B
26 Apr
Las Palmas B
2 : 1
Orihuela
19 Apr
Getafe B
3 : 0
Las Palmas B
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Ibarra

(Away)
24 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0
Ibarra
17 May
Ibarra
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
11 May
Ibarra
3 : 1
Tamaraceite
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0
Ibarra
26 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
Herbania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)