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Las Palmas C vs Atletico Paso

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Martinez A.
15'
Acosta S.
19' Event
Cabrera Diaz A.

AI Match Summary

Atletico Paso in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Paso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Las Palmas C
30%
Draws
28%
Atletico Paso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Las Palmas C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Las Palmas C average 1.8 goals a game right now, well clear of Atletico Paso's 1.45.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Las Palmas C Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Palmas C Atletico Paso
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 9 12
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.8 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Las Palmas C
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Atletico Paso
1:3
Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Las Palmas C
1:0
Oct 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Atletico Paso
2:2
May 29, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Atletico Paso
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Las Palmas C Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Atletico Paso Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cabrera Diaz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Palmas C 31 / 100
Atletico Paso 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Palmas C Atletico Paso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Las Palmas C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Palmas C scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Las Palmas C has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Atletico Paso let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Las Palmas C VS Atletico Paso
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Palmas C

(Home)
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1
San Miguel
03 May
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Las Palmas C
25 Apr
Las Palmas C
2 : 1
SD Tenisca
22 Apr
Las Palmas C
1 : 0
Panaderia
18 Apr
Real Union Tenerife
0 : 1
Las Palmas C
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Paso

(Away)
07 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 0
Atletico Paso
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
03 May
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Las Palmas C
25 Apr
Panaderia
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
19 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1
Telde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)