Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Las Palmas C vs Mensajero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Las Palmas C host Mensajero in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Las Palmas C at 1.48 goals for, 1.17 against; Mensajero at 1.33 for, 0.91 against. Past meetings favor Mensajero slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.00) point toward Mensajero. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Las Palmas C
20%
Draws
42%
Mensajero
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mensajero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Mensajero have won more games recently than Las Palmas C.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mensajero have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Las Palmas C Clean Sheet 20%
Mensajero Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Palmas C Mensajero
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 12 19
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Las Palmas C
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Mensajero
1:1
May 22, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Las Palmas C
2:1
May 1, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Mensajero
1:3
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Las Palmas C
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Palmas C 31 / 100
Mensajero 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Palmas C Mensajero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Las Palmas C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Palmas C found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Las Palmas C went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mensajero's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Las Palmas C VS Mensajero
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Palmas C

(Home)
09 Oct
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 1
Las Palmas C
03 Oct
Las Palmas C
1 : 2
Lanzarote
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1
Las Palmas C
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2
Union Sur Yaiza
12 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 2
Las Palmas C
Page 1 of 6

Mensajero

(Away)
03 Oct
Villaverde Norte
1 : 2
Mensajero
27 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
San Miguel
19 Sept
Anaza
1 : 0
Mensajero
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2
Murcia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
2 Real Union Tenerife 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
3 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
4 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
5 CD Marino 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
6 Las Palmas C 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 San Miguel 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
8 Panaderia 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
9 Los Llanos 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
11 Villa Santa Brigida 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Tenerife C 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Estrella 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Anaza 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
15 Union Sur Yaiza 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
16 CD Laguna 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
17 Villaverde Norte 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)