Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Las Palmas C

0 - 1

San Miguel

Our Tip

Match Events

90'

De Toma M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between Las Palmas C and San Miguel finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Miguel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Las Palmas C

40%

Draws

29%

San Miguel

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

San Miguel haven't matched Las Palmas C's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Las Palmas C Clean Sheet 20%

San Miguel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Las Palmas C	San Miguel
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	9
Draws	9	8
Losses	7	13
Goals Scored	1.75	1
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Las Palmas C vs San Miguel

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

San Miguel vs Las Palmas C

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Las Palmas C Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

San Miguel Compare

Top Goalscorer De Toma M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Palmas C 32 / 100

San Miguel 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Las Palmas C San Miguel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Palmas C scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: San Miguel conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Las Palmas C went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Las Palmas C VS San Miguel

1.75 Goals Scored 1

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Paso	34	18	13	3	51:19	67
2	UD San Fernando	34	19	9	6	49:23	66
3	Mensajero	34	18	9	7	51:31	63
4	Tamaraceite	34	19	6	9	56:36	63
5	Panaderia	34	15	10	9	47:33	55
6	Las Palmas C	34	15	9	10	58:42	54
7	Tenerife C	34	14	10	10	49:46	52
8	Villa Santa Brigida	34	15	5	14	42:35	50
9	Lanzarote	34	12	12	10	45:36	48
10	Real Union Tenerife	34	12	9	13	34:32	45
11	San Miguel	34	10	9	15	37:43	39
12	CD Marino	34	8	15	11	44:40	39
13	Union Sur Yaiza	34	10	8	16	33:43	38
14	San Bartolome	34	8	12	14	30:55	36
15	Arucas	34	7	12	15	31:47	33
16	Herbania	34	7	11	16	39:58	32
17	SD Tenisca	34	6	7	21	32:68	25
18	Telde	34	5	10	19	30:71	25