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Las Palmas C vs Union Sur Yaiza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Iglesias A.
45' Event
Delgado D.
45' Event
Isem O.

AI Match Summary

Las Palmas C in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Las Palmas C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Las Palmas C
20%
Draws
34%
Union Sur Yaiza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Las Palmas C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Las Palmas C lately — more wins on the board than Union Sur Yaiza.
  • Model gives Las Palmas C a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Las Palmas C Clean Sheet 68%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Palmas C Union Sur Yaiza
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.48 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Union Sur Yaiza
4:2
Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Las Palmas C
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Union Sur Yaiza
0:1
Mar 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Las Palmas C
1:0
Nov 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Union Sur Yaiza
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Las Palmas C Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isem O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Union Sur Yaiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Iglesias A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simon D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Palmas C 68 / 100
Union Sur Yaiza 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Palmas C Union Sur Yaiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Las Palmas C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Las Palmas C scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Union Sur Yaiza has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Las Palmas C has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Las Palmas C VS Union Sur Yaiza
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Palmas C

(Home)
09 Oct
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 1
Las Palmas C
03 Oct
Las Palmas C
1 : 2
Lanzarote
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1
Las Palmas C
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2
Union Sur Yaiza
12 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 2
Las Palmas C
Page 1 of 6

Union Sur Yaiza

(Away)
10 Oct
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1
CD Marino
03 Oct
Los Llanos
1 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0
UD San Fernando
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2
Union Sur Yaiza
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1
San Bartolome
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union Tenerife 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
2 San Miguel 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Panaderia 5 3 1 1 14:11 10
4 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
5 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
6 Las Palmas C 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
7 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
8 CD Marino 5 2 1 2 13:8 7
9 Tenerife C 5 2 1 2 10:9 7
10 Los Llanos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
11 Estrella 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
13 Villa Santa Brigida 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
14 Union Sur Yaiza 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
15 Anaza 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 CD Laguna 5 0 1 4 6:12 1
17 Villaverde Norte 5 0 1 4 4:12 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 5 0 1 4 3:18 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)