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Las Palmas vs Valladolid

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Jese
Assist: Fuster M.
32'
Ponceau J.
50'
Michelin C.

AI Match Summary

Las Palmas in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Las Palmas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Las Palmas
30%
Draws
29%
Valladolid
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Las Palmas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Las Palmas lately — more wins on the board than Valladolid.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Las Palmas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Las Palmas have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Las Palmas Clean Sheet 68%
Valladolid Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Palmas Valladolid
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 LaLiga2
Las Palmas vs Valladolid
2:1
Nov 14, 2025 LaLiga2
Valladolid vs Las Palmas
0:1
Feb 28, 2025 LaLiga
Valladolid vs Las Palmas
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 LaLiga
Las Palmas vs Valladolid
2:1
Mar 19, 2022 LaLiga2
Valladolid vs Las Palmas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Las Palmas Compare

Top Goalscorer Jese
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedrola E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Valladolid Compare

Top Goalscorer Biuk S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Palmas 50 / 100
Valladolid 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Palmas Valladolid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Las Palmas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Palmas scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Valladolid let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Las Palmas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Las Palmas VS Valladolid
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Palmas

(Home)
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Burgos CF
12 Sept
Cadiz
0 : 1
Las Palmas
04 Sept
Las Palmas
0 : 0
Leganes
29 Aug
Girona
5 : 2
Las Palmas
22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Las Palmas
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Valladolid

(Away)
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1
Valladolid
13 Sept
Valladolid
0 : 3
Real Oviedo
05 Sept
Valladolid
1 : 0
FC Andorra
30 Aug
Cadiz
1 : 1
Valladolid
23 Aug
Eibar
1 : 0
Valladolid
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
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