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Las Tunas vs CF Granma

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Granma in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Granma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Las Tunas
15%
Draws
21%
CF Granma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Las Tunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • CF Granma haven't matched Las Tunas's recent run of results.
  • Las Tunas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CF Granma have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Las Tunas Clean Sheet 20%
CF Granma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Tunas CF Granma
Matches Played 33 27
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.33 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs CF Granma
1:2
Apr 30, 2022 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs Las Tunas
0:4
Mar 12, 2022 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs CF Granma
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Tunas 85 / 100
CF Granma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Tunas CF Granma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Las Tunas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Tunas scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

CF Granma has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Las Tunas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Las Tunas VS CF Granma
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Tunas

(Home)
14 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
4 : 0
Las Tunas
07 Jun
Las Tunas
4 : 0
FC Sancti Spiritus
24 May
Las Tunas
5 : 2
FC Camaguey
17 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
2 : 1
Las Tunas
10 May
Las Tunas
3 : 0
FC Ciego de Avila
Page 1 of 7

CF Granma

(Away)
14 Jun
CF Granma
0 : 6
FC Guantanamo
24 May
FC Holguin
1 : 0
CF Granma
17 May
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 0
CF Granma
10 May
FC Guantanamo
3 : 2
CF Granma
03 May
CF Granma
3 : 2
FC Holguin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 7 6 1 0 14:2 19
2 FC La Habana 7 5 2 0 11:2 17
3 Matanzas 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
4 Artemisa 7 3 1 3 15:8 10
5 FC Villa Clara 7 2 1 4 6:11 7
6 Isla de La Juventud 7 2 1 4 5:10 7
7 Pinar del Rio 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
8 Mayabeque Guines 7 1 0 6 4:16 3
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santiago de Cuba 7 4 2 1 14:5 14
2 FC Guantanamo 7 4 2 1 12:6 14
3 FC Holguin 7 4 1 2 9:7 13
4 FC Camaguey 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 CF Granma 7 3 0 4 5:9 9
6 FC Sancti Spiritus 7 2 1 4 2:6 7
7 FC Ciego de Avila 7 2 1 4 5:10 7
8 Las Tunas 7 0 2 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)