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Las Tunas vs CF Granma

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Granma in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Granma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Las Tunas
6%
Draws
4%
CF Granma
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Las Tunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CF Granma haven't matched Las Tunas's recent run of results.
  • Las Tunas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CF Granma have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Las Tunas Clean Sheet 20%
CF Granma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Tunas CF Granma
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs CF Granma
1:2
Apr 30, 2022 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs Las Tunas
0:4
Mar 12, 2022 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs CF Granma
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Tunas 85 / 100
CF Granma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Tunas CF Granma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Tunas scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

CF Granma has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Las Tunas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Las Tunas VS CF Granma
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122