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Las Tunas vs FC Ciego de Avila

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Las Tunas and FC Ciego de Avila finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Las Tunas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Las Tunas
28%
Draws
22%
FC Ciego de Avila
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Las Tunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Las Tunas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Las Tunas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Las Tunas Clean Sheet 68%
FC Ciego de Avila Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Tunas FC Ciego de Avila
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs Las Tunas
4:0
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Ciego de Avila
3:0
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs Las Tunas
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Ciego de Avila
2:1
Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs Las Tunas
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Tunas 59 / 100
FC Ciego de Avila 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Tunas FC Ciego de Avila

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Las Tunas scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Las Tunas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

FC Ciego de Avila let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Las Tunas VS FC Ciego de Avila
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228