Sport Picks
Las Vegas Lights vs Athletic Club Boise
USA
USL Cup Cashman Field, Las Vegas, NV 
Match Events
5'
5'
Amang T.
27'
27'
Scott K.
46'
46'
Sub
Guillen A. In: Gartig E.
Out: Guillen A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Athletic Club Boise advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Athletic Club Boise carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Athletic Club Boise arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Athletic Club Boise, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Las Vegas Lights Clean Sheet 19%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Las Vegas Lights | Athletic Club Boise |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 21 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 USL Cup
Las Vegas Lights vs Athletic Club Boise
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Las Vegas Lights Compare
Top Goalscorer Pickering N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Athletic Club Boise Compare
Top Goalscorer Oyler K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Las Vegas Lights 32 / 100
Athletic Club Boise 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Las Vegas Lights Athletic Club Boise
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Las Vegas Lights's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Athletic Club Boise conceded in 71% of 21 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Las Vegas Lights stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Las Vegas Lights VS Athletic Club Boise
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Las Vegas Lights
(Home) 19 Jul
San Antonio FC
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
12 Jul
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Las Vegas Lights
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Las Vegas Lights
2 : 3 Orange County SC
14 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Las Vegas Lights
2 : 3 Orange County SC
07 Jun
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Oakland Roots
31 May
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 0 FC Tulsa
24 May
Las Vegas Lights
2 : 0 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 2
Athletic Club Boise
(Away) 18 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
12 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 0 Sacramento Republic
05 Jul
Westchester SC
0 : 1 Athletic Club Boise
03 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 2 One Knoxville
21 Jun
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Union Omaha
Page 1 of 5
05 Jul
Westchester SC
0 : 1 Athletic Club Boise
14 Jun
Forward Madison
5 : 1 Athletic Club Boise
07 Jun
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Athletic Club Boise
30 May
Richmond Kickers
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
06 May
Charlotte Independence
1 : 0 Athletic Club Boise
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spokane Velocity | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 9 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Athletic Club Boise | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Las Vegas Lights | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 6 | Monterey Bay | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado Springs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 4 | AV Alta FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 6 | Orange County SC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 0 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 11 |
| 2 | Birmingham Legion | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 5 | Corpus Christi FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisville City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Indy Eleven | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Lexington | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Union Omaha | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:12 | 6 |
| 6 | Forward Madison | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Fort Wayne | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | 1 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hartford Athletic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Rhode Island | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Brooklyn FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 5 | New York Cosmos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Westchester SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Charleston | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Greenville Triumph | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Loudoun United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 6 | Richmond Kickers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Miami FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Sporting Jax | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Sarasota Paradise | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Naples | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 6 | South Georgia Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams