Sport Picks
Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston
USA
USL Championship Cashman Field, Las Vegas, NV 
Match Events
38'
38'
Sessock N.
40'
40'
Foster M.
58'
58'
Sub
Locker C. In: Arteaga M.
Out: Locker C.
AI Match Summary
Charleston in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charleston.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleston
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Charleston lately — more wins on the board than Las Vegas Lights.
- Win probability leans Charleston's way, sitting at 90%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Charleston here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Las Vegas Lights Clean Sheet 16%
Charleston Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Las Vegas Lights | Charleston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston
0:2
Apr 27, 2024 USL Championship
Charleston vs Las Vegas Lights
6:0
May 6, 2023 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston
0:1
Apr 1, 2022 USL Championship
Charleston vs Las Vegas Lights
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Las Vegas Lights Compare
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Charleston Compare
Top Goalscorer Foster M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Las Vegas Lights 10 / 100
Charleston 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Las Vegas Lights Charleston
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charleston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Las Vegas Lights found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).
Charleston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Las Vegas Lights stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Las Vegas Lights VS Charleston
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Las Vegas Lights
(Home) 13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 New Mexico
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
22 Aug
Lexington
2 : 0 Las Vegas Lights
16 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
2 : 1 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 New Mexico
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
16 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
2 : 1 Brooklyn FC
06 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 0 Oakland Roots
02 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 3
Charleston
(Away) 12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
24 Aug
Charleston
5 : 0 Miami FC
15 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Charleston
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
15 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Charleston
08 Aug
Loudoun United
0 : 1 Charleston
26 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 1 Charleston
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 41:23 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 49:31 | 40 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 28:25 | 38 |
| 4 | Detroit City | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 28:19 | 37 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 26:23 | 37 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 32:28 | 33 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 33 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34:24 | 32 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 28:42 | 24 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 32:38 | 20 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 26:40 | 20 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 23:43 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:65 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 41:30 | 43 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 37:27 | 42 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:37 | 37 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 27:21 | 36 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 30:20 | 36 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 29:28 | 36 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 34:34 | 36 |
| 8 | Lexington | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 37:30 | 34 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:32 | 33 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31:34 | 32 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 29:35 | 27 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25:42 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
