Sport Picks
Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Cashman Field, Las Vegas, NV 
Match Events
13'
13'
Scarlett J.
21'
21'
Fischer B.
27'
27'
Taofeek A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Las Vegas Lights
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Hartford Athletic have won more games recently than Las Vegas Lights.
- Win probability leans Las Vegas Lights's way, sitting at 50%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Hartford Athletic have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Las Vegas Lights Clean Sheet 11%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Las Vegas Lights | Hartford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Las Vegas Lights
2:1
Jul 23, 2023 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic
0:2
Sep 17, 2022 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Las Vegas Lights
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Las Vegas Lights Compare
Top Goalscorer Arteaga M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Hartford Athletic Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Las Vegas Lights 47 / 100
Hartford Athletic 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Las Vegas Lights Hartford Athletic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Las Vegas Lights Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Las Vegas Lights's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Hartford Athletic let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Las Vegas Lights stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Las Vegas Lights VS Hartford Athletic
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Las Vegas Lights
(Home) 11 Oct
Phoenix Rising
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0 San Antonio FC
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0 San Antonio FC
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
06 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 New Mexico
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
16 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
2 : 1 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 4
Hartford Athletic
(Away) 10 Oct
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 1 Hartford Athletic
04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Louisville City
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0 Sporting Jax
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 1 Hartford Athletic
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
05 Sept
Detroit City
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
12 Aug
Charlotte Independence
2 : 4 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34:20 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52:33 | 46 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:42 | 40 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39:30 | 38 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:47 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34:36 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34:44 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 48:36 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:33 | 49 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 38:26 | 45 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 41 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 37:44 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:29 | 39 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:41 | 36 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 39:42 | 36 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33:35 | 35 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 30:50 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
