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Las Vegas Lights vs San Diego 1904 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2021
Thu, Apr 29, 2021
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Las Vegas Lights host San Diego 1904 in the Club Friendly 2021. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. San Diego 1904 have shipped 1.97 goals a game lately, while Las Vegas Lights have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.28. Head-to-head, Las Vegas Lights have won 0 to San Diego 1904's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 1.19) point toward Las Vegas Lights. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Las Vegas Lights
30%
Draws
23%
San Diego 1904
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Las Vegas Lights

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Las Vegas Lights come out ahead of San Diego 1904 on wins alone.
  • Las Vegas Lights are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Las Vegas Lights Clean Sheet 20%
San Diego 1904 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Vegas Lights San Diego 1904
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.28 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2021 Club Friendly
Las Vegas Lights vs San Diego 1904
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Vegas Lights 76 / 100
San Diego 1904 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Vegas Lights San Diego 1904

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Las Vegas Lights Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Diego 1904 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Las Vegas Lights found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

San Diego 1904's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Las Vegas Lights VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Vegas Lights

(Home)
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2
Las Vegas Lights
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1
Hartford Athletic
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2
Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2
New Mexico
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2
Charleston
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San Diego 1904

(Away)
21 Nov
New Amsterdam
4 : 0
San Diego 1904
14 Nov
San Diego 1904
1 : 2
New Amsterdam
11 Nov
California United
3 : 1
San Diego 1904
06 Nov
Stumptown
1 : 1
San Diego 1904
31 Oct
San Diego 1904
0 : 0
Stumptown
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