Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga 2005

Lasnamae

4 - 1

Merkuur-Juunior

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lasnamae in this Esiliiga 2005 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lasnamae.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Lasnamae

22%

Draws

18%

Merkuur-Juunior

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Lasnamae

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Lasnamae lately — more wins on the board than Merkuur-Juunior.
60% — that's where the model lands on Lasnamae taking it.
Regular Esiliiga 2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Lasnamae have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Lasnamae Clean Sheet 20%

Merkuur-Juunior Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lasnamae	Merkuur-Juunior
Matches Played	42	30
Wins	10	1
Draws	7	6
Losses	25	23
Goals Scored	1	0
Goals Conceded	3.5	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2005 Esiliiga

Merkuur-Juunior vs Lasnamae

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Sep 10, 2005 Esiliiga

Lasnamae vs Merkuur-Juunior

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

4:1

May 14, 2005 Esiliiga

Merkuur-Juunior vs Lasnamae

Possession: 40% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

0:5

Apr 23, 2005 Esiliiga

Lasnamae vs Merkuur-Juunior

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lasnamae 58 / 100

Merkuur-Juunior 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lasnamae Merkuur-Juunior

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AJA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Merkuur-Juunior has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Lasnamae scored in 62% of their last 42 outings.

Merkuur-Juunior has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lasnamae VS -

1 Goals Scored 0

3.5 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Parnu Linnameeskond	36	26	6	4	92:39	84
2	Levadia U21	36	26	4	6	104:31	82
3	Lasnamae	36	23	8	5	111:30	77
4	Tallinna Kalev	36	18	9	9	85:71	63
5	Tervis Parnu	36	14	9	13	73:53	51
6	TVMK Tallinn II	36	12	5	19	51:80	41
7	Elva	36	10	6	20	42:71	36
8	Lelle	36	11	1	24	49:100	34
9	JK Jalgpallihaigla	36	9	4	23	38:100	31
10	Merkuur-Juunior	36	2	6	28	27:97	12