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Lasnamae vs Vandra Vaprus Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2018
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga B 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Lasnamae
20%
Draws
64%
Vandra Vaprus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vandra Vaprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Vandra Vaprus have won more games recently than Lasnamae.
  • Model gives Vandra Vaprus a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lasnamae Clean Sheet 17%
Vandra Vaprus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lasnamae Vandra Vaprus
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 4 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.93 1.77
Goals Conceded 3.47 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2018 Esiliiga B
Lasnamae vs Vandra Vaprus
0:0
Aug 11, 2018 Esiliiga B
Vandra Vaprus vs Lasnamae
8:1
Jul 8, 2018 Esiliiga B
Vandra Vaprus vs Lasnamae
2:0
Apr 15, 2018 Esiliiga B
Lasnamae vs Vandra Vaprus
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lasnamae 20 / 100
Vandra Vaprus 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lasnamae Vandra Vaprus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vandra Vaprus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vandra Vaprus conceded in 86% of 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Vandra Vaprus registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Lasnamae's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vandra Vaprus
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lasnamae

(Home)
11 Nov
Lasnamae
2 : 5
Voru Helios
03 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
4 : 1
Lasnamae
27 Oct
Lasnamae
1 : 7
Tammeka Tartu II
20 Oct
Lasnamae
0 : 0
Vandra Vaprus
13 Oct
Parnu
6 : 0
Lasnamae
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Vandra Vaprus

(Away)
28 Jun
Tallinna FC Zapoos
6 : 0
Vandra Vaprus
11 Aug
Tulevik
4 : 1
Vandra Vaprus
14 Nov
Vandra Vaprus
2 : 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu
06 Nov
Kalju U21
3 : 2
Vandra Vaprus
31 Oct
Legion U21
1 : 4
Vandra Vaprus
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legion 36 32 2 2 125:30 98
2 Tammeka Tartu II 36 22 6 8 109:40 72
3 FC Alliance 36 21 6 9 80:39 69
4 Parnu 36 18 7 11 80:52 61
5 Nomme Utd 36 17 9 10 99:57 60
6 Voru Helios 36 15 9 12 80:66 54
7 Vandra Vaprus 36 11 5 20 61:96 38
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 8 4 24 45:94 28
9 Lasnamae 36 4 4 28 35:135 16
10 Flora U19 36 4 4 28 33:138 16
Promotion - Esiliiga 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2018 (Relegation)