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Latina vs Siracusa Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Domenico Francioni, Latina
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Parodi G.
33' Event
Parigi G.
(Penalty)
41'
Parigi G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Latina and Siracusa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Latina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Latina
30%
Draws
43%
Siracusa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Siracusa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Latina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Latina Clean Sheet 20%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latina Siracusa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Latina vs Siracusa
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Siracusa vs Latina
3:1
Jan 8, 2012 Lega Pro C1/B
Siracusa vs Latina
0:0
Sep 4, 2011 Lega Pro C1/B
Latina vs Siracusa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latina Compare

Top Goalscorer Parodi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Siracusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sbaffo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latina 32 / 100
Siracusa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latina Siracusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siracusa has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Latina scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Latina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Latina VS Siracusa
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Latina

(Home)
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1
Latina
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
05 Sept
Latina
2 : 0
Forli FC
Page 1 of 6

Siracusa

(Away)
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Siracusa
4 : 2
Athletic Palermo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)