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Latina vs Trapani

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Domenico Francioni, Latina
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Di Noia G.
20'
Sub
Di Noia G. In: Marcolini D.
Out: Di Noia G.
20' Event
Parigi G.

AI Match Summary

Latina in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Latina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Latina
30%
Draws
12%
Trapani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Latina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Trapani haven't matched Latina's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Latina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Latina Clean Sheet 68%
Trapani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latina Trapani
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.14 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Latina vs Trapani
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Latina
6:0
Apr 5, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Latina vs Trapani
0:2
Nov 23, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Latina
4:0
Mar 4, 2017 Serie B
Trapani vs Latina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latina Compare

Top Goalscorer Parigi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Trapani Compare

Top Goalscorer Salines E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latina 95 / 100
Trapani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latina Trapani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Trapani conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Latina scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Latina stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Latina VS Trapani
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Latina

(Home)
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5
Latina
19 Apr
Latina
2 : 0
Casertana
12 Apr
Latina
1 : 2
Casarano
06 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1
Latina
01 Apr
Latina
1 : 0
Potenza
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Trapani

(Away)
26 Apr
Trapani
2 : 2
Siracusa
19 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Trapani
12 Apr
Trapani
1 : 2
Salernitana
04 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 1
Trapani
29 Mar
Foggia
1 : 0
Trapani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)