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Latte Dolce vs Tortoli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tortoli in this Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tortoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Latte Dolce
15%
Draws
36%
Tortoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Latte Dolce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Latte Dolce lately — more wins on the board than Tortoli.
  • Latte Dolce are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Latte Dolce Clean Sheet 19%
Tortoli Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latte Dolce Tortoli
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.42 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2018 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Tortoli
0:2
Oct 14, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Tortoli vs Latte Dolce
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latte Dolce 76 / 100
Tortoli 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latte Dolce Tortoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latte Dolce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tortoli conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Latte Dolce scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Tortoli's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Latte Dolce VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Latte Dolce

(Home)
20 Sept
Latte Dolce
1 : 2
Citta di Anagni
16 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 2
Latte Dolce
12 Sept
Latte Dolce
2 : 3
Paganese
05 Sept
Ossese
3 : 0
Latte Dolce
13 Aug
Latte Dolce
2 : 1
Santa Teresa
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Tortoli

(Away)
06 May
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 0
Tortoli
29 Apr
Tortoli
1 : 4
Monterosi
22 Apr
Lanusei Calcio
2 : 0
Tortoli
14 Apr
Tortoli
4 : 3
Aprilia
08 Apr
Anzio Calcio 1924
1 : 0
Tortoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rieti 34 22 9 3 76:29 75
2 Albalonga 34 20 10 4 60:28 70
3 SFF Atletico (Inactive) 34 19 9 6 73:37 66
4 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 60:43 62
5 Latina 34 17 10 7 55:42 61
6 Aprilia 34 14 12 8 52:42 54
7 Cassino 34 15 7 12 50:48 52
8 Lupa Roma 34 12 10 12 47:49 44
9 Monterosi 34 12 8 14 47:42 44
10 Budoni Calcio 34 13 4 17 40:41 43
11 Ostiamare 34 11 9 14 47:56 42
12 Flaminia 34 11 8 15 42:48 41
13 Latte Dolce 34 10 10 14 39:45 40
14 Lanusei Calcio 34 11 4 19 41:55 37
15 Nuorese 34 9 8 17 28:46 35
16 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 7 7 20 28:68 28
17 Tortoli 34 7 5 22 36:65 26
18 San Teodoro 34 5 8 21 47:84 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 (Play Offs)