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Latvia U16 vs Lithuania U16

World World

Friendly International 2024
Sun, Aug 11, 2024
3 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Anohins I.
20' Event
Warwick Tully B.
40' Event
Muraska H.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Latvia U16 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Latvia U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Latvia U16
15%
Draws
28%
Lithuania U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Latvia U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Latvia U16 average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Lithuania U16's 1.44.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Latvia U16 Clean Sheet 16%
Lithuania U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latvia U16 Lithuania U16
Matches Played 12 9
Wins 3 3
Draws 1 0
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2024 Friendly International
Latvia U16 vs Lithuania U16
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latvia U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Anohins I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Lithuania U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Warwick Tully B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valuckas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia U16 36 / 100
Lithuania U16 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latvia U16 Lithuania U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania U16 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Latvia U16's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Defensive concern: Lithuania U16 conceded in 78% of 9 recent games.

Lithuania U16's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Latvia U16 VS Lithuania U16
1 Goals Scored 1.57
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.86
50% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Latvia U16

(Home)
16 Apr
Bulgaria U16
3 : 2
Latvia U16
13 Apr
Latvia U16
0 : 1
Luxembourg U16
11 Apr
Bosnia & Herzegovina U16
2 : 3
Latvia U16
11 Aug
Latvia U16
3 : 2
Lithuania U16
09 Aug
Latvia U16
2 : 3
Turkey U16
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Lithuania U16

(Away)
11 Aug
Latvia U16
3 : 2
Lithuania U16
09 Aug
Lithuania U16
1 : 3
Estonia U16
24 May
France U16
3 : 1
Lithuania U16
22 May
France U16
3 : 2
Lithuania U16
26 Mar
Lithuania U16
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina U16
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