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Latvia U17 vs Lithuania U17

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Mogilevics M.
52' Event
Slusarevs D.
55' Event
Mballa L.

AI Match Summary

Latvia U17 in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Latvia U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Latvia U17
6%
Draws
4%
Lithuania U17
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Latvia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Latvia U17 have won more games recently than Lithuania U17.
  • Latvia U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Latvia U17 Clean Sheet 13%
Lithuania U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latvia U17 Lithuania U17
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Friendly International
Latvia U17 vs Lithuania U17
5:1
Jun 29, 2025 Friendly International
Lithuania U17 vs Latvia U17
4:5
Mar 13, 2025 Friendly International
Lithuania U17 vs Latvia U17
1:1
Jun 26, 2024 Friendly International
Latvia U17 vs Lithuania U17
2:2
Jul 2, 2023 Friendly International
Latvia U17 vs Lithuania U17
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latvia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mogilevics M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Slusarevs D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Lithuania U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Valatkevicius G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia U17 84 / 100
Lithuania U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latvia U17 Lithuania U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lithuania U17 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Latvia U17 found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Latvia U17 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Latvia U17 VS Lithuania U17
2.13 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Latvia U17

(Home)
02 Jul
Finland U17
5 : 1
Latvia U17
30 Jun
Latvia U17
3 : 0
Estonia U17
28 Jun
Latvia U17
5 : 1
Lithuania U17
06 Jun
Ukraine U17
2 : 3
Latvia U17
03 Jun
Latvia U17
2 : 2
Albania U17
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Lithuania U17

(Away)
02 Jul
Estonia U17
1 : 4
Lithuania U17
30 Jun
Finland U17
1 : 1
Lithuania U17
28 Jun
Latvia U17
5 : 1
Lithuania U17
30 Mar
Lithuania U17
0 : 3
Bulgaria U17
27 Mar
Lithuania U17
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U17
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