Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Latvia U21 vs Estonia U21

Europe Europe

Baltic Cup U21 LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Anisjko D.
33' Event
Orlov M.
37'
Tovstik S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baltic Cup U21 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Latvia U21
6%
Draws
4%
Estonia U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Latvia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Latvia U21 have won more games recently than Estonia U21.
  • Win probability leans Latvia U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Latvia U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Latvia U21, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Latvia U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Estonia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latvia U21 Estonia U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Baltic Cup U21
Latvia U21 vs Estonia U21
1:1
Jun 9, 2024 Baltic Cup U21
Estonia U21 vs Latvia U21
3:4
Nov 18, 2022 Baltic Cup U21
Latvia U21 vs Estonia U21
1:0
Sep 8, 2020 Euro U21
Latvia U21 vs Estonia U21
1:1
Oct 11, 2019 Euro U21
Estonia U21 vs Latvia U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latvia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Anisjko D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Estonia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Orlov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia U21 85 / 100
Estonia U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latvia U21 Estonia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estonia U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Latvia U21 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Latvia U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Latvia U21 VS Estonia U21
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Latvia U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Latvia U21
1 : 3
Northern Ireland U21
27 Mar
Georgia U21
1 : 1
Latvia U21
18 Nov
Malta U21
0 : 1
Latvia U21
Page 1 of 6

Estonia U21

(Away)
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2
Lithuania U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Switzerland U21
2 : 1
Estonia U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2
Estonia U21
13 Oct
France U21
6 : 1
Estonia U21
Page 1 of 6