Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Latvia U21 vs Greece U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Sub
Kangars A. In: Tihonovics M.
Out: Kangars A.
45'
Koutsogoulas A.
46'
Sub
Smyrlis L. In: Kostoulas C.
Out: Smyrlis L.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Latvia U21 and Greece U21 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Greece U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Latvia U21
6%
Draws
90%
Greece U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Greece U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Greece U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Greece U21 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Greece U21 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Latvia U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Greece U21 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latvia U21 Greece U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.5 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 Euro U21
Latvia U21 vs Greece U21
0:1
Jun 7, 1999 Euro U21
Greece U21 vs Latvia U21
6:0
Mar 29, 1999 Euro U21
Latvia U21 vs Greece U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latvia U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Greece U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tzimas S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia U21 10 / 100
Greece U21 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latvia U21 Greece U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Latvia U21's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Greece U21 conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Latvia U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Latvia U21 VS Greece U21
0.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Latvia U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Latvia U21
1 : 3
Northern Ireland U21
27 Mar
Georgia U21
1 : 1
Latvia U21
18 Nov
Malta U21
0 : 1
Latvia U21
Page 1 of 6

Greece U21

(Away)
30 May
Croatia U21
1 : 1
Greece U21
27 May
Greece U21
1 : 2
Qatar U23
31 Mar
Greece U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
27 Mar
Greece U21
5 : 0
Malta U21
18 Nov
Greece U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U21770026:221
2Finland U21751126:216
3Romania U2174128:413
4Kosovo U21722312:68
5Cyprus U2171065:243
6San Marino U2170070:390
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U21761028:019
2Czech Republic U21742115:314
3Scotland U21832318:1011
4Bulgaria U2173227:611
5Azerbaijan U2171335:186
6Gibraltar U2180081:370
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France U21651021:416
2Switzerland U21742110:514
3Iceland U21732214:911
4Faroe Islands U2173046:139
5Luxembourg U2161147:144
6Estonia U2170258:212
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U21761018:219
2Slovakia U21751115:1016
3Ireland U2173227:1011
4Andorra U2182156:107
5Moldova U2181259:175
6Kazakhstan U2171154:104
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Poland U21880023:224
2Italy U21870125:521
3Montenegro U21831411:1410
4Sweden U21831410:1910
5North Macedonia U2182067:176
6Armenia U2180084:230
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U21760122:418
2Greece U21760121:418
3Northern Ireland U2173138:1110
4Georgia U21723212:99
5Latvia U2171244:125
6Malta U2170071:280
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway U21540112:412
2Bosnia & Herzegovina U2161412:17
3Israel U2161416:77
4Netherlands U2151227:85
5Slovenia U2161233:105
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia U21541011:113
2Turkey U2163217:611
3Ukraine U21622210:78
4Hungary U2150326:93
5Lithuania U2160243:142
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium U21531111:210
2Austria U2163127:710
3Denmark U21531112:510
4Wales U2162046:206
5Belarus U2161147:94
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)