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World

World Championship 2026 Daugavas stadions

Andorra

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Latvia play Andorra in the World Championship 2026. Latvia are favorites here. Recently, Latvia averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Andorra averaged 0.27 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Latvia won 3, Andorra won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 11, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Latvia and 0.88 for Andorra. This points to a Latvia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Latvia

26%

Draws

18%

Andorra

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Latvia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

Latvia picked up more points recently compared to Andorra.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 35%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Latvia Clean Sheet 25%

Andorra Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Latvia	Andorra
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	2
Draws	7	5
Losses	17	23
Goals Scored	0.57	0.27
Goals Conceded	1.6	1.77
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 World Championship

Latvia vs Andorra

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Mar 21, 2025 World Championship

Andorra vs Latvia

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Sep 25, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Andorra vs Latvia

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Jun 3, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Latvia vs Andorra

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Nov 17, 2020 UEFA Nations League

Andorra vs Latvia

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latvia Compare

Top Goalscorer Zelenkovs D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Andorra Compare

Top Goalscorer San Nicolas M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Oliveira I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia 55 / 100

Andorra 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Latvia Andorra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latvia Win (1)

Secondary Pick Latvia & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.5%

2.08

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +20.8%

3.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Latvia attacking → ← attacking Andorra

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Latvia scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Andorra let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Latvia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Andorra lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 11

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0