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Latvia vs Cyprus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Skonto stadions, Riga
Latvia Logo

Latvia

0 - 0
FT
Cyprus Logo

Cyprus

Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Gutkovskis V.
62'
Kosti I.
66'
Tsaroulla N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Latvia
20%
Draws
73%
Cyprus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cyprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cyprus lately — more wins on the board than Latvia.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Cyprus taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Latvia Clean Sheet 15%
Cyprus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latvia Cyprus
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.57 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Cyprus vs Latvia
2:1
Sep 28, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Latvia vs Cyprus
0:0
Mar 21, 2024 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Latvia
1:1
Feb 14, 1997 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Latvia
2:0
Mar 12, 1996 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Latvia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia 27 / 100
Cyprus 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latvia Cyprus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cyprus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cyprus let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Latvia found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Latvia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Latvia VS Cyprus
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Latvia

(Home)
05 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 1
Latvia
02 Oct
Latvia
1 : 2
Montenegro
28 Sept
Latvia
0 : 0
Cyprus
25 Sept
Armenia
2 : 0
Latvia
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1
Faroe Islands
Page 1 of 6

Cyprus

(Away)
05 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 1
Latvia
02 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 0
Armenia
28 Sept
Latvia
0 : 0
Cyprus
25 Sept
Montenegro
2 : 1
Cyprus
07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Cyprus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 Belarus 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Finland 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
4 San Marino 4 0 0 4 1:16 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro 4 3 1 0 7:4 10
2 Cyprus 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Armenia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Latvia 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Faroe Islands 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
3 Moldova 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
4 Kazakhstan 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Estonia 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Luxembourg 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)