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Latvia vs Faroe Islands

Europe Europe

Baltic Cup 2024 Daugavas stadions, Liepāja
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Joensen R.
46'
Sub
Vapne L. In: Ciganiks A.
Out: Vapne L.
46'
Sub
Ikaunieks D. In: Regza M.
Out: Ikaunieks D.

AI Match Summary

Latvia in this Baltic Cup 2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Latvia
15%
Draws
51%
Faroe Islands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Faroe Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Faroe Islands lately — more wins on the board than Latvia.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Latvia taking it.
  • Faroe Islands arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Latvia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Latvia Clean Sheet 20%
Faroe Islands Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latvia Faroe Islands
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 5 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.56 1
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Baltic Cup
Latvia vs Faroe Islands
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Faroe Islands vs Latvia
1:1
Sep 10, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Latvia vs Faroe Islands
1:0
Jun 11, 2024 Baltic Cup
Latvia vs Faroe Islands
1:0
Nov 14, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Latvia vs Faroe Islands
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latvia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciganiks A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Faroe Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia 36 / 100
Faroe Islands 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latvia Faroe Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Faroe Islands conceded in 72% of 25 recent games.

Latvia's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Latvia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Latvia VS Faroe Islands
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Latvia

(Home)
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1
Faroe Islands
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1
Latvia
31 Mar
Latvia
1 : 0
Gibraltar
26 Mar
Gibraltar
0 : 1
Latvia
16 Nov
Serbia
2 : 1
Latvia
Page 1 of 6

Faroe Islands

(Away)
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1
Faroe Islands
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Faroe Islands
28 Mar
San Marino
1 : 2
Faroe Islands
18 Nov
Faroe Islands
1 : 0
Kazakhstan
14 Nov
Croatia
3 : 1
Faroe Islands
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Lithuania 2
Latvia 0
Estonia 4
Faroe Islands 1
Final
Lithuania 1
Estonia 2
Latvia 1
Faroe Islands 0