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Latvia vs Faroe Islands

Europe Europe

Baltic Cup 2024 Daugavas stadions
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Joensen R.
46'
Sub
Vapne L. In: Ciganiks A.
Out: Vapne L.
46'
Sub
Ikaunieks D. In: Regza M.
Out: Ikaunieks D.

AI Match Summary

Latvia play Faroe Islands in the Baltic Cup 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Latvia averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Faroe Islands averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Latvia won 2, Faroe Islands won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 9, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Latvia and 1.38 for Faroe Islands. This points to a Faroe Islands double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Latvia
44%
Draws
20%
Faroe Islands
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Faroe Islands has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Latvia.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Baltic Cup 2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Latvia Clean Sheet 17%
Faroe Islands Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latvia Faroe Islands
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Baltic Cup
Latvia vs Faroe Islands
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Faroe Islands vs Latvia
1:1
Sep 10, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Latvia vs Faroe Islands
1:0
Jun 11, 2024 Baltic Cup
Latvia vs Faroe Islands
1:0
Nov 14, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Latvia vs Faroe Islands
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latvia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciganiks A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Faroe Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia 36 / 100
Faroe Islands 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latvia Faroe Islands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Latvia scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Faroe Islands let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Latvia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Faroe Islands lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Latvia VS Faroe Islands
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Lithuania2
Latvia0
Estonia4
Faroe Islands1
Final
Lithuania1
Estonia2
Latvia1
Faroe Islands0