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World

World Championship 2026 Daugavas stadions

Latvia

0 - 1

Serbia

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Vlahovic D.

Assist: Katai A.

41'

Saveljevs A.

46'

Sub

Saveljevs A. In: Vapne L.

Out: Saveljevs A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Serbia in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serbia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Latvia

Draws

Serbia

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Latvia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Latvia haven't matched Serbia's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Latvia's way, sitting at 90%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%

Latvia Clean Sheet 19%

Serbia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Latvia	Serbia
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	6	9
Draws	7	8
Losses	17	12
Goals Scored	0.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 World Championship

Serbia vs Latvia

Possession: 60% - 52% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Sep 6, 2025 World Championship

Latvia vs Serbia

Possession: 54% - 40% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latvia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Serbia Compare

Top Goalscorer Vlahovic D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia 85 / 100

Serbia 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Latvia Serbia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serbia let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Serbia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Latvia's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Latvia VS Serbia

0.63 Goals Scored 1.13

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

38% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0