Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Launceston City U21 vs Ulverstone U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

Tasmania Northern Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Northern Championship game between Launceston City U21 and Ulverstone U21 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Launceston City U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Launceston City U21
15%
Draws
42%
Ulverstone U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Launceston City U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Launceston City U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Launceston City U21 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Northern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ulverstone U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Launceston City U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Ulverstone U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Launceston City U21 Ulverstone U21
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 12 11
Draws 0 3
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.79 2.45
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston City U21 vs Ulverstone U21
0:1
May 22, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Ulverstone U21 vs Launceston City U21
3:0
Mar 14, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston City U21 vs Ulverstone U21
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Launceston City U21 35 / 100
Ulverstone U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Launceston City U21 Ulverstone U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Launceston City U21 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Ulverstone U21 has conceded goals in 65% of their last 20 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Launceston City U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Launceston City U21 VS Ulverstone U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Launceston City U21

(Home)
29 Aug
Launceston City U21
2 : 0
Somerset
22 Aug
Burnie United
3 : 0
Launceston City U21
15 Aug
Launceston City U21
5 : 3
Launceston United U21
08 Aug
Devonport U21
0 : 1
Launceston City U21
01 Aug
Riverside Olympic U21
0 : 1
Launceston City U21
Page 1 of 6

Ulverstone U21

(Away)
29 Aug
Northern Rangers
4 : 0
Ulverstone U21
22 Aug
Ulverstone U21
4 : 3
Riverside Olympic U21
15 Aug
Burnie United
0 : 2
Ulverstone U21
08 Aug
Ulverstone U21
2 : 0
Somerset
31 Jul
Ulverstone U21
3 : 2
Launceston United U21
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Rangers 21 20 0 1 130:24 60
2 Devonport U21 21 16 2 3 107:27 50
3 Ulverstone U21 20 11 3 6 49:38 36
4 Launceston City U21 20 9 0 11 32:39 27
5 Somerset 20 7 2 11 40:59 23
6 Burnie United 21 7 2 12 52:79 23
7 Riverside Olympic U21 20 5 0 15 28:76 15
8 Launceston United U21 21 2 1 18 19:115 7
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)