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Launceston City U21 vs Ulverstone U21

Australia Australia

Tasmania Northern Championship
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
02:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Launceston City U21 host Ulverstone U21 in the Tasmania Northern Championship. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Ulverstone U21 have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Launceston City U21 have conceded 2 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, Launceston City U21 have won 1 to Ulverstone U21's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.88 - 2.19) back Ulverstone U21 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Launceston City U21
33%
Draws
27%
Ulverstone U21
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Launceston City U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Launceston City U21 lately — more wins on the board than Ulverstone U21.
  • Win probability leans Launceston City U21's way, sitting at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Northern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Launceston City U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Ulverstone U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Launceston City U21 Ulverstone U21
Matches Played 27 13
Wins 11 6
Draws 0 3
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Ulverstone U21 vs Launceston City U21
3:0
Mar 14, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston City U21 vs Ulverstone U21
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Launceston City U21 38 / 100
Ulverstone U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Launceston City U21 Ulverstone U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Launceston City U21's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ulverstone U21 conceded in 69% of 13 recent games.

Recent resilience: Launceston City U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Launceston City U21 VS Ulverstone U21
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northern Rangers13120176:1536
2Devonport U2113112068:1735
3Ulverstone U211363437:2821
4Somerset1352630:3117
5Launceston City U211350823:2915
6Burnie United1442833:5614
7Riverside Olympic U211340920:4712
8Launceston United U211411128:724