Sport Picks
Launceston City vs Clarence Zebras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL Tasmania Prospect Park, Launceston 
Match Events
47'
47'
Rawlings M.
85'
85'
Lynch R.
1'
1'
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Clarence Zebras
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Launceston City come out ahead of Clarence Zebras on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Clarence Zebras's way, sitting at 80%.
- Launceston City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Launceston City, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Launceston City here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Launceston City Clean Sheet 15%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Launceston City | Clarence Zebras |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 20 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 3 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 2.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs Clarence Zebras
2:1
Jul 11, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Launceston City
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs Clarence Zebras
2:0
Aug 2, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs Clarence Zebras
12:3
May 31, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Launceston City
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Launceston City Compare
Top Goalscorer Rawlings M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Clarence Zebras Compare
Top Goalscorer Lynch R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Launceston City 11 / 100
Clarence Zebras 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Launceston City Clarence Zebras
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Clarence Zebras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Launceston City scored in 90% of their last 30 games.
Clarence Zebras let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.
Difficult form: Clarence Zebras registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Launceston City VS Clarence Zebras
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Launceston City
(Home) 22 Aug
Kingborough Lions
5 : 0 Launceston City
15 Aug
Launceston City
2 : 1 Clarence Zebras
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0 Launceston City
01 Aug
South Hobart
3 : 1 Launceston City
25 Jul
Riverside Olympic
0 : 0 Launceston City
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Launceston City
2 : 1 Clarence Zebras
22 Jul
Launceston City
4 : 2 Launceston United
18 Jul
Launceston City
1 : 3 Kingborough Lions
28 Jun
Launceston City
1 : 0 South East United
24 May
Launceston City
1 : 3 Devonport
Page 1 of 3
Clarence Zebras
(Away) 15 Aug
Launceston City
2 : 1 Clarence Zebras
08 Aug
Kingborough Lions
3 : 1 Clarence Zebras
02 Aug
Clarence Zebras
1 : 0 Ulverstone
18 Jul
Riverside Olympic
2 : 4 Clarence Zebras
11 Jul
Clarence Zebras
1 : 2 Launceston City
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Launceston City
2 : 1 Clarence Zebras
08 Aug
Kingborough Lions
3 : 1 Clarence Zebras
18 Jul
Riverside Olympic
2 : 4 Clarence Zebras
04 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 2 Clarence Zebras
20 Jun
Devonport
2 : 2 Clarence Zebras
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
South Hobart -
TBD -
Devonport 2
Kingborough Lions 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
South Hobart -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kingborough Lions -
TBD -
Launceston City 2
Clarence Zebras 1
Quarter-finals
South Hobart 0
Devonport 3
TBD -
TBD -
South Hobart -
TBD -
Kingborough Lions 5
Launceston City 0
Semi-finals
Devonport -
TBD -
South Hobart 4
Kingborough Lions 2
Final
Devonport 1
South Hobart 5
