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Launceston City vs Devonport

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Prospect Park
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Jolivet I.
54' Event
Kawachi K.
Own Goal
80' Event
Bates I.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Launceston City and Devonport finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Devonport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Launceston City
20%
Draws
38%
Devonport
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Launceston City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Launceston City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Launceston City's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • Devonport have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Launceston City Clean Sheet 10%
Devonport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Launceston City Devonport
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 20 17
Draws 1 5
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs Devonport
1:3
Aug 16, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs Devonport
4:1
Jun 21, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Launceston City
3:2
Apr 12, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs Devonport
0:1
Aug 10, 2024 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs Devonport
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Launceston City Compare

Top Goalscorer Reissig M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Devonport Compare

Top Goalscorer Jolivet I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bates I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Launceston City 40 / 100
Devonport 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Launceston City Devonport

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Launceston City found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Devonport conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Launceston City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Launceston City VS Devonport
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%