Sport Picks
Launceston United U21 vs Burnie United
Australia
Tasmania Northern Championship 
AI Match Summary
The Tasmania Northern Championship game between Launceston United U21 and Burnie United finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Burnie United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Burnie United come out ahead of Launceston United U21 on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Burnie United taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Northern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 88%
Over 4.5 Goals 40%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Launceston United U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Burnie United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Launceston United U21 | Burnie United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 26 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 6 | 3.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 6.00 | 3.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston United U21 vs Burnie United
3:3
May 9, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston United U21 vs Burnie United
1:5
Aug 9, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Launceston United U21
10:0
Jun 14, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston United U21 vs Burnie United
2:2
Apr 5, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Launceston United U21
4:6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Launceston United U21 10 / 100
Burnie United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Launceston United U21 Burnie United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Burnie United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 7.20 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Burnie United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Launceston United U21 found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Launceston United U21 VS Burnie United
0.38 Goals Scored 2.13
6 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Launceston United U21
(Home) 18 Jul
Somerset
8 : 2 Launceston United U21
11 Jul
Launceston United U21
3 : 3 Burnie United
04 Jul
Devonport U21
10 : 0 Launceston United U21
27 Jun
Riverside Olympic U21
2 : 0 Launceston United U21
20 Jun
Launceston City U21
7 : 0 Launceston United U21
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11 Jul
Launceston United U21
3 : 3 Burnie United
30 May
Launceston United U21
0 : 6 Ulverstone U21
22 May
Launceston United U21
0 : 6 Somerset
09 May
Launceston United U21
1 : 5 Burnie United
02 May
Launceston United U21
1 : 7 Devonport U21
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Burnie United
(Away) 18 Jul
Burnie United
0 : 9 Devonport U21
11 Jul
Launceston United U21
3 : 3 Burnie United
04 Jul
Burnie United
1 : 0 Riverside Olympic U21
27 Jun
Burnie United
0 : 6 Northern Rangers
19 Jun
Ulverstone U21
4 : 2 Burnie United
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11 Jul
Launceston United U21
3 : 3 Burnie United
19 Jun
Ulverstone U21
4 : 2 Burnie United
13 Jun
Launceston City U21
4 : 3 Burnie United
09 May
Launceston United U21
1 : 5 Burnie United
18 Apr
Northern Rangers
11 : 2 Burnie United
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Rangers | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 89:15 | 39 |
| 2 | Devonport U21 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 77:17 | 38 |
| 3 | Ulverstone U21 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 38:28 | 24 |
| 4 | Somerset | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 38:33 | 20 |
| 5 | Launceston City U21 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 23:30 | 15 |
| 6 | Burnie United | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 33:65 | 14 |
| 7 | Riverside Olympic U21 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 20:60 | 12 |
| 8 | Launceston United U21 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10:80 | 4 |
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)