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Launceston United U21 vs Somerset

Australia Australia

Tasmania Northern Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Somerset in this Tasmania Northern Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Somerset.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Launceston United U21
6%
Draws
90%
Somerset
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Somerset

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Somerset have won more games recently than Launceston United U21.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Somerset taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Northern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Somerset here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Launceston United U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Somerset Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Launceston United U21 Somerset
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 2 12
Draws 2 2
Losses 25 14
Goals Scored 0.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 6.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston United U21 vs Somerset
0:6
Mar 14, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Somerset vs Launceston United U21
3:1
Aug 16, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston United U21 vs Somerset
0:2
Jun 21, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Somerset vs Launceston United U21
1:4
Apr 12, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Somerset vs Launceston United U21
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Launceston United U21 10 / 100
Somerset 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Launceston United U21 Somerset

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Somerset has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Launceston United U21's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Launceston United U21 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Launceston United U21 VS Somerset
0.25 Goals Scored 2.25
6.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northern Rangers13120176:1536
2Devonport U2113112068:1735
3Ulverstone U211363437:2821
4Somerset1352630:3117
5Launceston City U211350823:2915
6Burnie United1442833:5614
7Riverside Olympic U211340920:4712
8Launceston United U211411128:724