Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Launceston United U21 vs Ulverstone U21

Australia Australia

Tasmania Northern Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ulverstone U21 in this Tasmania Northern Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ulverstone U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Launceston United U21
15%
Draws
68%
Ulverstone U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulverstone U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ulverstone U21 lately — more wins on the board than Launceston United U21.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Ulverstone U21 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Northern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ulverstone U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Launceston United U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Ulverstone U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Launceston United U21 Ulverstone U21
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 2 11
Draws 1 3
Losses 27 6
Goals Scored 0.73 2.45
Goals Conceded 6.37 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 3.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Ulverstone U21 vs Launceston United U21
3:2
May 30, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston United U21 vs Ulverstone U21
0:6
Mar 21, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Ulverstone U21 vs Launceston United U21
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Launceston United U21 10 / 100
Ulverstone U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Launceston United U21 Ulverstone U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulverstone U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Ulverstone U21 has conceded goals in 65% of their last 20 outings.

Launceston United U21 found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Launceston United U21 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Launceston United U21 VS Ulverstone U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
5.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Launceston United U21

(Home)
29 Aug
Launceston United U21
1 : 11
Devonport U21
22 Aug
Northern Rangers
6 : 1
Launceston United U21
15 Aug
Launceston City U21
5 : 3
Launceston United U21
08 Aug
Launceston United U21
2 : 1
Riverside Olympic U21
31 Jul
Ulverstone U21
3 : 2
Launceston United U21
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Ulverstone U21

(Away)
29 Aug
Northern Rangers
4 : 0
Ulverstone U21
22 Aug
Ulverstone U21
4 : 3
Riverside Olympic U21
15 Aug
Burnie United
0 : 2
Ulverstone U21
08 Aug
Ulverstone U21
2 : 0
Somerset
31 Jul
Ulverstone U21
3 : 2
Launceston United U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Rangers 21 20 0 1 130:24 60
2 Devonport U21 21 16 2 3 107:27 50
3 Ulverstone U21 20 11 3 6 49:38 36
4 Launceston City U21 20 9 0 11 32:39 27
5 Somerset 20 7 2 11 40:59 23
6 Burnie United 21 7 2 12 52:79 23
7 Riverside Olympic U21 20 5 0 15 28:76 15
8 Launceston United U21 21 2 1 18 19:115 7
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)