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Launceston United vs Devonport

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Birch Avenue, Launceston
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Yaqo N.
47' Event
Bates I.
56' Event
Denehey B.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Launceston United and Devonport finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Devonport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Launceston United
15%
Draws
85%
Devonport
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Devonport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Launceston United haven't matched Devonport's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Devonport taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Devonport have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Launceston United Clean Sheet 10%
Devonport Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Launceston United Devonport
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 19
Draws 2 5
Losses 25 6
Goals Scored 1.1 3.13
Goals Conceded 4.03 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Devonport
0:6
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Launceston United
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Launceston United
9:2
Jun 28, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Launceston United
5:2
Apr 26, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Devonport
1:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Launceston United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Devonport Compare

Top Goalscorer Denehey B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yaqo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Launceston United 10 / 100
Devonport 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Launceston United Devonport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Launceston United found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Devonport conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Devonport lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Launceston United VS Devonport
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Launceston United

(Home)
08 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 1
Launceston United
01 Aug
Kingborough Lions
2 : 0
Launceston United
25 Jul
Launceston United
0 : 6
Devonport
22 Jul
Launceston City
4 : 2
Launceston United
19 Jul
South East United
4 : 1
Launceston United
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Devonport

(Away)
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0
Launceston City
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Devonport
25 Jul
Launceston United
0 : 6
Devonport
18 Jul
Devonport
1 : 3
South Hobart
11 Jul
Devonport
2 : 0
South East United
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