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Launceston United vs South Hobart

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania 2025 Birch Avenue, Launceston
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Walter A.
10' Event
Toure Y.
33' Event
Morton N.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania 2025 game between Launceston United and South Hobart finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Hobart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Launceston United
6%
Draws
90%
South Hobart
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Hobart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Launceston United haven't matched South Hobart's recent run of results.
  • South Hobart are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors South Hobart here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Launceston United Clean Sheet 10%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Launceston United South Hobart
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 3 24
Draws 2 4
Losses 23 8
Goals Scored 1.38 4
Goals Conceded 3.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Launceston United
4:1
Mar 7, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs South Hobart
1:5
Aug 16, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs South Hobart
1:7
Jun 21, 2025 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Launceston United
7:0
Apr 12, 2025 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Launceston United
10:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Launceston United Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

South Hobart Compare

Top Goalscorer Walter A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morton N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Launceston United 10 / 100
South Hobart 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Launceston United South Hobart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.20 goals as a typical output.

Launceston United's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: South Hobart conceded in 69% of 36 recent games.

Launceston United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Launceston United VS South Hobart
1.38 Goals Scored 4
3.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Launceston United

(Home)
19 Jul
South East United
4 : 1
Launceston United
10 Jul
Launceston United
0 : 1
Riverside Olympic
27 Jun
Clarence Zebras
1 : 1
Launceston United
20 Jun
Launceston United
3 : 2
Ulverstone
30 May
South Hobart
4 : 1
Launceston United
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South Hobart

(Away)
18 Jul
Devonport
1 : 3
South Hobart
11 Jul
South Hobart
2 : 0
Ulverstone
05 Jul
South East United
1 : 0
South Hobart
27 Jun
South Hobart
6 : 1
Glenorchy Knights
21 Jun
Kingborough Lions
1 : 1
South Hobart
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