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Lausanne Ouchy vs Etoile-Carouge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Swiss Cup. Lausanne Ouchy go into this one as the clear favorite. Etoile-Carouge have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while Lausanne Ouchy have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.9. Past meetings favor Lausanne Ouchy slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 1, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Lausanne Ouchy. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Lausanne Ouchy
30%
Draws
6%
Etoile-Carouge
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lausanne Ouchy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Lausanne Ouchy have won more games recently than Etoile-Carouge.
  • Lausanne Ouchy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Lausanne Ouchy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lausanne Ouchy, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 20%
Etoile-Carouge Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lausanne Ouchy Etoile-Carouge
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Etoile-Carouge
3:0
Apr 10, 2026 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Etoile-Carouge
0:1
Dec 19, 2025 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Etoile-Carouge
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lausanne Ouchy 85 / 100
Etoile-Carouge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lausanne Ouchy Etoile-Carouge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lausanne Ouchy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lausanne Ouchy has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lausanne Ouchy's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Etoile-Carouge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lausanne Ouchy VS Etoile-Carouge
2.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lausanne Ouchy

(Home)
09 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Lausanne Ouchy
02 Oct
Grenoble
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
24 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 2
Sion
20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
Page 1 of 7

Etoile-Carouge

(Away)
09 Oct
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 2
Yverdon
18 Sept
Kriens
4 : 1
Etoile-Carouge
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Winterthur
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1
Wil
01 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Aesch 1
Langenthal 5
Meyrin 0
Xamax 1
FC Interlaken 1
Bulle 4
Rebstein 2
Wil 6
Koniz 3
Munsingen 1
Wiesendangen 0
Bruhl SG 6
CS Italien 1
Lausanne Ouchy 8
Collex-Bossy 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
Kaufdorf 0
Old Boys 5
Terre Sainte 0
Yverdon 5
Amical Saint-Prex 1
Stade Nyonnais 3
Courtetelle 1
Basel 6
Rotkreuz 4
Bellinzona 1
Bavois 0
Servette 7
Rorschach 2
Schaffhausen 4
FC Saxon-Sports 0
Thun 6
Biel 3
Aarau 4
Tuggen 1
Zurich 2
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Rapperswil-Jona 6
Thalwil 0
St. Gallen 3
Zurich City SC 1
Winterthur 3
Buochs 0
Luzern 3
Mutschellen 3
FC Winkeln SG 4
Kosova Neuchatel 0
Lausanne 6
Courrendlin-Courroux 0
Grenchen 1
Regensdorf 0
Grasshoppers 5
Pully 2
Genolier-Begnins 0
Vedeggio 1
Lugano 10
Taverne 2
Brunnen 1
Liestal 0
Young Boys 4
Cham 2
Kriens 0
Kerzers 1
Sion 6
1/16-finals
Langenthal -
Xamax -
Bulle -
Wil -
Koniz -
Bruhl SG -
Lausanne Ouchy -
Etoile-Carouge -
Old Boys -
Yverdon -
Stade Nyonnais -
Basel -
Rotkreuz -
Servette -
Schaffhausen -
Thun -
Aarau -
Zurich -
Rapperswil-Jona -
St. Gallen -
Winterthur -
Luzern -
FC Winkeln SG -
Lausanne -
Grenchen -
Grasshoppers -
Pully -
Lugano -
Taverne -
Young Boys -
Cham -
Sion -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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