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Lausanne Ouchy vs Rapperswil-Jona

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Marchand Y.
40'
Bah K.
50' Event
Pousa R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Rapperswil-Jona in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rapperswil-Jona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lausanne Ouchy
33%
Draws
40%
Rapperswil-Jona
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Rapperswil-Jona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Lausanne Ouchy have won more games recently than Rapperswil-Jona.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Rapperswil-Jona taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 20%
Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lausanne Ouchy Rapperswil-Jona
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Rapperswil-Jona
1:2
Jan 24, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Rapperswil-Jona
0:2
Aug 22, 2025 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:2
Aug 14, 2021 Swiss Cup
Rapperswil-Jona vs Lausanne Ouchy
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lausanne Ouchy Compare

Top Goalscorer Bah K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rapperswil-Jona Compare

Top Goalscorer Sow C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lausanne Ouchy 28 / 100
Rapperswil-Jona 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lausanne Ouchy Rapperswil-Jona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rapperswil-Jona has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Lausanne Ouchy scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Lausanne Ouchy stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lausanne Ouchy VS Rapperswil-Jona
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lausanne Ouchy

(Home)
17 Jul
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 1
Servette U21
11 Jul
Zurich
1 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
08 Jul
Servette
2 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
27 Jun
Luzern
3 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
24 May
Lausanne Ouchy
0 : 3
St. Gallen
Page 1 of 7

Rapperswil-Jona

(Away)
17 Jul
Rapperswil-Jona
3 : 1
Cham
04 Jul
Lugano
1 : 1
Rapperswil-Jona
26 Jun
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Basel
24 Jun
Freienbach
1 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
15 May
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vaduz36256575:4181
2Aarau36255677:4780
3Yverdon36207975:4867
4Lausanne Ouchy361481459:5150
5Xamax361471555:5649
6Rapperswil-Jona361422052:6244
7Etoile-Carouge3610101646:5440
8Wil3610101639:5540
9Stade Nyonnais365131833:6028
10Bellinzona36582340:7723
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)