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Lausanne Ouchy vs Vaduz

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Tritten V.
24' Event
Schwizer D.
25'
Nomel L.

AI Match Summary

Lausanne Ouchy in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lausanne Ouchy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Lausanne Ouchy
15%
Draws
27%
Vaduz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lausanne Ouchy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Vaduz have won more games recently than Lausanne Ouchy.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Lausanne Ouchy taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 17%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lausanne Ouchy Vaduz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.87 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Lausanne Ouchy
2:2
Jan 30, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Vaduz
5:2
Nov 9, 2025 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Lausanne Ouchy
3:2
Sep 27, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Vaduz
1:1
May 23, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Vaduz
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lausanne Ouchy Compare

Top Goalscorer Tritten V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nkama J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Vaduz Compare

Top Goalscorer Schwizer D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cocic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lausanne Ouchy 84 / 100
Vaduz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lausanne Ouchy Vaduz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lausanne Ouchy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaduz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Lausanne Ouchy went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Lausanne Ouchy's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lausanne Ouchy VS Vaduz
2.88 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lausanne Ouchy

(Home)
24 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 2
Sion
20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
04 Sept
Kriens
0 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
01 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
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Vaduz

(Away)
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
13 Sept
Zurich
2 : 1
Vaduz
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2
Grasshoppers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaduz 36 25 6 5 75:41 81
2 Aarau 36 25 5 6 77:47 80
3 Yverdon 36 20 7 9 75:48 67
4 Lausanne Ouchy 36 14 8 14 59:51 50
5 Xamax 36 14 7 15 55:56 49
6 Rapperswil-Jona 36 14 2 20 52:62 44
7 Etoile-Carouge 36 10 10 16 46:54 40
8 Wil 36 10 10 16 39:55 40
9 Stade Nyonnais 36 5 13 18 33:60 28
10 Bellinzona 36 5 8 23 40:77 23
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)