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Lausanne Ouchy vs Winterthur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne
Sat, Dec 5, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lausanne Ouchy host Winterthur in the Challenge League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Lausanne Ouchy have averaged 2.07 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Winterthur's 2 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor Winterthur slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 28, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.50) back Lausanne Ouchy to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Lausanne Ouchy
20%
Draws
36%
Winterthur
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lausanne Ouchy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Lausanne Ouchy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lausanne Ouchy a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 16%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lausanne Ouchy Winterthur
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.07 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Challenge League
Winterthur vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:1
Dec 2, 2025 Swiss Cup
Lausanne Ouchy vs Winterthur
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Super League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Winterthur
0:1
Jan 27, 2024 Super League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Winterthur
1:3
Sep 23, 2023 Super League
Winterthur vs Lausanne Ouchy
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lausanne Ouchy 41 / 100
Winterthur 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lausanne Ouchy Winterthur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Lausanne Ouchy remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Lausanne Ouchy's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Winterthur has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lausanne Ouchy VS Winterthur
2 Goals Scored 2.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lausanne Ouchy

(Home)
30 Oct
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 2
Yverdon
23 Oct
Lausanne Ouchy
0 : 0
Xamax
16 Oct
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
09 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Lausanne Ouchy
02 Oct
Grenoble
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
Page 1 of 6

Winterthur

(Away)
01 Nov
Wil
0 : 3
Winterthur
23 Oct
Winterthur
4 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
17 Oct
Winterthur
0 : 1
Luzern
09 Oct
Xamax
3 : 0
Winterthur
03 Oct
Winterthur
7 : 3
Basel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 12 8 4 0 23:5 28
2 Winterthur 12 7 3 2 26:11 24
3 Yverdon 12 6 4 2 23:14 22
4 Kriens 12 4 4 4 21:19 16
5 Xamax 12 5 1 6 16:20 16
6 Aarau 12 4 3 5 19:21 15
7 Etoile-Carouge 12 3 4 5 12:17 13
8 Rapperswil-Jona 12 3 2 7 18:25 11
9 Wil 12 2 5 5 18:27 11
10 Stade Nyonnais 12 2 2 8 12:29 8
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)